Price analysis 10/27: BTC, ETH, BNB, ADA, SOL, XRP, DOT, DOGE, SHIB, LUNA
价格分析10/27:BTC,ETH,BNB,ADA,SOL,XRP,DOT,DOGE,SHIB,LUNA
Bitcoin (BTC) has broken back below the psychological support at $60,000. While this seems to be negative in the short term, the price action has continued to mirror its movement in 2017. If the similarity continues for the remainder of the year, Bitcoin bulls may be in for a party.
比特币的市值(BTC)已经跌破6万美元的交易周期最低价格。虽然这在短期内似乎是负面的,但比特币的价格走势仍继续反映其在2017年的走势。如果这一局势一直能持续到年末,看好比特币的投资者们可能会“蠢蠢欲动”。
PlanB, creator of the popular Bitcoin Stock-to-Flow (S2F) model, recently proclaimed in a tweet that the second leg of Bitcoin’s bull market has begun. If Bitcoin’s price action continues to follow the S2F model, the analyst believes a rally to $100,000 to $135,000 may be possible by the end of the year.
流行的比特币股票流(S2F)模型的创始人PlanB最近在推特上宣布,比特币牛市的第二段已经开始。这位分析师认为,如果比特币的价格走势继续遵循S2F模型,年底前它的市值可能会反弹至10万到13.5万美元。
Although Bitcoin garners the lion’s share of attention, cryptocurrency exchange Okcoin said in a recent report that institutional investors’ appetite for non-Bitcoin crypto assets has been growing. The report said that 53% of the purchases by institutional investors in September were in altcoins.
尽管投资市场的注意力主要集中在比特币身上,但加密货币交易所Okcoin在最近的一份报告中表示,机构投资者对非比特币加密资产的兴趣一直在增长。报告称,在9月份机构投资者的投资对象中,有多达53%的投资对象是非比特币加密货币。
Is the current fall in Bitcoin a buying opportunity or the start of a deeper correction? How are the altcoins expected to react? Let’s analyze the charts of the top 10 cryptocurrencies to find out.
目前比特币市值的下跌是一次买入其他加密货币的机会还是其更深层次回调的开始?对此,非比特币加密货币预计会有什么反应?让我们分析一下前10大加密货币的图表,一探究竟。
BTC/USDT
比特币/泰达币
Bitcoin failed to retest the overhead resistance zone at $64,854 to $67,000 on Oct. 25, which may have prompted short-term traders to book profits. That has pulled the price down to the strong support at the 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) ($58,948).
10月25日,比特币的市值未能回升至64854美元到67000美元的阻力区,这可能促使短期交易者卖出手中的比特币。并且这将其价格拉低至20日指数移动平均线(EMA)水平(58,948美元)。
A break and close below the 20-day EMA will be the first sign that the bullish momentum may be weakening. If bulls fail to reclaim the level quickly, the selling could accelerate and the BTC/USDT pair could slide to $52,920.
如果比特币价格突破并收于20日均线下方,这可能首次意味着看涨态势正在减弱。如果多头未能迅速扭转比特币目前的价值走势,抛售可能会进一步加剧,可能最后导致BTC/USDT下滑至52,920美元。
The relative strength index (RSI) has dropped to the midpoint and the 20-day EMA is flattening out, suggesting a balance between supply and demand.
相对强弱指标(RSI)已降至中点,20日均线趋平,暗示供需平衡。
This advantage will tilt in favor of the bears if the pair slides and sustains below the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) ($51,556). On the other hand, a breakout to a new all-time high will indicate that bulls are back in command.
如果BTC/USDT这对组合下滑并维持在50天简单移动平均线(SMA)(51,556美元)下方,这一优势将倾向于空头这一边。另一方面,如果BTC/USDT突破历史新高,这表明多头将重新”掌权“。
ETH/USDT
ETH(以太币)/USDT
The bulls tried to resume the uptrend in Ether (ETH) on Oct. 26 and 27 but could not sustain the price above $4,200. This suggests that bears are active at higher levels.
多头试图在10月26日和27日恢复以太币(ETH)价格的上升趋势,但无法将其价格维持在4200美元以上。这表明空头比多头更占优势。
The sellers have pulled the price to the 20-day EMA ($3,869), which is an important support to keep an eye on. A strong bounce off the 20-day EMA will suggest that the sentiment remains positive and traders are buying the dips. The bulls will then again try to resume the uptrend.
卖方已将以太币价格拉至20日均线(3869美元)水平,这是一个值得关注的重要价格界限。如果以太币价格能在20日均线上强劲反弹,这将表明投资市场情绪仍然积极,交易员也会逢低买入。这样一来,多头将再次试图恢复以太币价格的上升趋势。
On the contrary, if the 20-day EMA cracks, it will signal that traders may be booking profits and supply exceeds demand. The bears will then try to pull the price to the 50-day SMA ($3,488).
相反,如果以太币价格突破20日均线以下,这会意味着交易员可能出售手中的以太币,最后供大于求。这样一来,空头可以试图将其价格拉至50天SMA(3488美元)水平。
BNB/USDT
BNB(币安币)/USDT
Binance Coin (BNB) turned down from the overhead resistance and broke below the 20-day EMA ($462) today. This is the first sign that the bullish sentiment could be weakening.
币安币(BNB)今天从上方阻力转跌,跌破20日均线(462美元)。这可能首次意味着看涨情绪正在减弱。
The long tail on today’s candlestick shows that bulls are attempting to defend the neckline of the inverse head and shoulders pattern.
今天烛台上的长尾显示,多头正试图捍卫头肩反向模式的领口。
If they succeed, the BNB/USDT pair could again try to rally to the overhead resistance at $518.90. A break and close above this resistance could signal the resumption of the uptrend.
如果成功的话,BNB/USDT可能再次反弹至518.90美元上方阻力位。突破并收于该阻力之上可能是上升趋势恢复的信号。
Conversely, a close below the neckline could pull the price to the 50-day SMA ($423). If this support is breached, the next stop could be $392.20. The flattish moving averages and the RSI near the midpoint do not indicate a clear advantage to either bulls or bears.
相反,低于领口的收盘价可能会将价格拉至50天SMA(423美元)。如果该支撑被突破,下一个止损点可能是392.20美元。平稳的移动平均线和位于中点附近的RSI并不表明对多头或空头有明显的优势。
ADA/USDT
ADA(卡尔达诺)/USDT
Cardano’s (ADA) tight range trading between the 20-day EMA ($2.15) and the support line of the symmetrical triangle resolved to the downside on Oct. 27. This suggests that bears have asserted their supremacy.
卡尔达诺(ADA)在20日均线(2.15美元)和对称三角形支撑线之间的紧密区间交易在10月27日出现下行。这表明空头已占据优势地位。
The sellers pulled the price below $1.87 on Oct. 27 but the long tail on the candlestick suggests that bulls are attempting to defend the support. The recovery attempt is likely to face strong resistance at the 20-day EMA.
10月27日,卖方将价格拉低至1.87美元以下,但烛台上的长尾表明,多头正试图捍卫支撑。多头这一反弹尝试可能在20日均线处面临强大阻力。
If the price turns down from the 20-day EMA, the bears will again try to break the $1.87 support. If that happens, the ADA/USDT pair could resume the down move toward the pattern target at $1.58.
如果价格从20日均线转跌,空头将再次试图突破1.87美元支撑。如果发生这种情况,ADA/USDT对可能恢复向1.58美元目标的下跌。
The bulls will have to push and sustain the price above the resistance line of the triangle to invalidate the negative view.
多头将不得不将价格推高并维持在三角形阻力线上方,以此消除负面情绪。
SOL/USDT
SOL/USDT
Solana (SOL) broke above the overhead resistance at $216 on Oct. 25 but the bulls could not sustain the breakout. This may have attracted profit-booking by short-term traders, pulling the price to the 20-day EMA ($177).
索拉纳(SOL)在10月25日突破上方阻力位216美元,但多头无法维持这一突破。这可能吸引了短线交易员的获利盘,将价格拉至20日均线(177美元)。
The long tail on Oct. 27’s candlestick suggests that sentiment remains positive and bulls are buying on dips to the 20-day EMA. The buyers will now again try to push the price above the overhead resistance.
10月27日的长尾烛台表明市场情绪仍然积极,多头正在逢低买进20日均线。买家现在将再次试图将价格推高到头顶阻力之上。
If they succeed, the SOL/USDT pair could resume the uptrend with the next target objective at $239.83. Contrary to this assumption, if bears pull the price below $171.47, the pair could extend the drop to the trendline. A break below this support will signal a possible trend change.
如果他们成功,SOL/USDT可能会恢复升势,并朝着下一个目标:239.83美元。与这一假设相反,如果空头将价格拉低至171.47美元以下,这对组合可能会将跌势扩大至趋势线。跌破此支撑将是趋势可能改变的信号。
XRP/USDT
XRP/USDT
The bulls pushed Ripple (XRP) above the downtrend line on Oct. 26 but could not sustain the higher levels as seen from the long wick on the day’s candlestick. This may have trapped the aggressive bulls, resulting in strong selling on Oct. 27.
在10月26日,多头将波纹(XRP)推至下降趋势线上方,但无法维持从当天烛台上的长灯芯来看的更高水平。这可能困住了激进的多头,导致10月27日的强劲抛售。
A close below the $1 support will complete a descending triangle pattern that could pull the price down to the strong support zone at $0.88 to $0.85. If this zone fails to arrest the decline, the XRP/USDT pair could extend the slide to the pattern target at $0.77.
收盘跌破1美元支撑将完成一个下降的三角形模式,这可能会将价格拉低至0.88至0.85美元的强支撑区。如果这一区域未能阻止下跌,XRP/USDT对可能将下滑延伸至0.77美元的模式目标。
The 20-day EMA ($1.08) is flat but the RSI has dropped into the negative zone, indicating that the bears are attending a strong comeback. This negative view will invalidate if bulls push and sustain the price above the downtrend line. That could clear the path for a possible rally to $1.24.
20日均线(1.08美元)持平,但RSI已跌至负值区,表明空头正在强劲反弹。如果多头推动并维持下跌趋势线上方的价格,这种负面观点将失效。这可能为反弹至1.24美元扫清道路。
DOT/USDT
点/美元
Polkadot’s (DOT) failure to rise above the overhead resistance at $46.39 on Oct. 26 may have prompted selling by short-term traders. This pulled the price down to the strong support at $38.77 on Oct. 27.
Polkadot未能在10月26日升穿上方阻力位46.39美元,这可能促使短线交易员抛售。这将价格拉低至10月27日38.77美元的强劲支撑。
The long tail on Oct. 27’s candlestick shows that bulls are defending the support with vigor. If buyers push the price above $46.39, the DOT/USDT pair could resume its up-move and challenge the all-time high at $49.78.
10月27日的长尾烛台显示,多头正积极捍卫支撑。如果买家将价格推高至46.39美元上方,DOT/USDT对可能恢复升势,挑战49.78美元的历史高点。
Alternatively, if bulls fail to clear the overhead hurdle, the pair may consolidate between $46.39 and $38.77 for a few days. A break and close below $38.77 could signal the start of a deeper correction to the 50-day SMA ($35.14).
另外,如果多头未能扫清架空障碍,该对组合可能会在46.39美元至38.77美元之间盘整几天。突破并收于38.77美元下方可能标志着50天SMA(35.14美元)更深回调的开始。
Related: Shiba Inu could surpass Dogecoin after a 700% SHIB price rally in October
相关:Shiba Inu在10月份SHIB价格上涨700%后,可能会超过Dogecoin
DOGE/USDT
Doge/USDT
Dogecoin (DOGE) turned down from $0.28 on Oct. 24, indicating that traders are liquidating positions on rallies. The bulls again tried to push the price above the $0.27 overhead resistance on Oct. 26 but failed.
Dogecoin(DOGE)从10月24日的0.28美元下跌,表明交易员正在逢高平仓。10月26日,多头再次试图将价格推高至0.27美元上方阻力,但失败了。
The selling accelerated on Oct. 27 after bears pulled the price below the 20-day EMA ($0.24). This resulted in a decline close to the strong support zone at $0.21 to $0.19. The long tail on the day’s candlestick suggests that traders continue to defend the support zone.
10月27日,在空头将价格拉低至20日均线(0.24美元)以下后,抛售加速。这导致下跌接近0.21美元至0.19美元的强支撑区。当天烛台上的长尾暗示交易者继续防守支撑区。
The 20-day EMA has flattened out and the RSI is just below the midpoint, suggesting a possible range-bound action in the near term. The next trending move could start on a break above $0.28 or a close below $0.19.
20日均线走平,RSI略低于中点,暗示近期可能出现区间震荡。下一个趋势性走势可能始于0.28美元上方的突破或0.19美元下方的收盘。
SHIB/USDT
Shib/USDT
SHIBA INU (SHIB) is in a strong uptrend. The long wick on the Oct. 24 candlestick shows that bears tried to stall the up-move at $0.00004465 but they could not sustain the selling pressure. Buying resumed on Oct. 25 and the meme coin resumed its northward march.
柴犬(SHIB)正处于强劲的上升趋势中。10月24日烛台上的长灯芯显示,空头试图在0.00004465美元处阻止上涨,但他们无法承受卖压。10月25日,购买恢复,迷因硬币恢复了向北进军。
The strong up-move has pushed the RSI near the 90 level, which suggests that the rally may be overextended in the short term. However, this does not guarantee the start of a correction because the RSI had reached above 93 on Oct. 6 before a pullback happened.
强劲的上涨推动RSI接近90水平,这表明反弹可能在短期内过度。然而,这并不能保证回调的开始,因为在回调发生之前,RSI在10月6日已经达到93以上。
The bulls have pushed the SHIB/USDT pair above the 161.8% Fibonacci extension level at $0.00006531. If the price sustains above this level, the next stop could be the 200% extension level at $0.00007586.
看涨者已将Shib/USDT对推高至161.8%斐波那契延伸线水平0.00006531美元上方。如果价格维持在这个水平以上,下一站可能是200%的延伸水平,在0.00007586美元。
Vertical rallies are rarely sustainable and they usually end with waterfall declines. Therefore, chasing prices higher after the recent rally may be risky.
垂直反弹很少是可持续的,它们通常以瀑布式下跌结束。因此,在最近的反弹之后追逐更高的价格可能是有风险的。
LUNA/USDT
卢纳/美元
Terra protocol’s LUNA token broke above the overhead resistance at $45.01 on Oct. 26 but the bulls could not sustain the higher levels as seen from the long wick on the day’s candlestick.
Terra Protocol的LUNA令牌在10月26日突破了45.01美元的上方阻力,但从当天烛台上的长灯芯来看,公牛无法维持更高的水平。
The bears sensed an opportunity and pulled the price below the $39.75 support on Oct. 27, but a minor positive is that bulls bought the dip to the 50-day SMA ($38.16). If the price sustains above $39.75, the bulls may again try to push the LUNA/USDT pair toward $45.01.
空头意识到了一个机会,并在10月27日将价格拉低至39.75美元的支撑下方,但一个小的积极因素是,多头买入了50天SMA(38.16美元)的低点。如果价格维持在39.75美元上方,多头可能再次试图将卢娜/美元兑美元对推高至45.01美元。
Conversely, if the price breaks below the 50-day SMA, the pair could drop to the strong support zone at $34.86 to $32.50. This is an important zone for the bulls to defend because a break below it could accelerate selling.
相反,如果价格跌破50天SMA线,该对可能跌至34.86美元至32.50美元的强支撑区。这是多头需要防守的重要区域,因为跌破该区域可能会加速抛售。
The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph. Every investment and trading move involves risk. You should conduct your own research when making a decision.
这里所表达的观点和意见完全是作者的观点和意见,并不一定反映CoIntelegraph的观点。每一次投资和交易都有风险。你做决定时应该进行自己的研究。
Market data is provided by HitBTC exchange.
市场数据由HitBTC交易所提供。